Hubert Moolman https://goldbroker.com/news/authors/hubert-moolman There is a sense that we are close to a significant move in silver. The current season since August 2020 till now, is shaping up in a similar manner to the season of August 2019 to February/March 2020. Silver as well as the stock market peaked in February 2020, and crashed significantly into March. Below, is a chart of silver (top) and the Dow (bottom): On the silver chart, I have indicated how the current season is shaping up like the previous season by marking the similar patterns from point 1 to 5. On both patterns, point 4 came in right at the beginning of the year (2020 and 2021 respectively). If the two patterns on the silver chart continue in a similar manner, then we could see silver crash much lower like it did in March 2020. However, if the patterns diverge, then we could see a move higher that is similar to the the move from about July 2020 (It is often the case that the big moves come when significant patterns diverge). The red and green lines ar... Thu, 25 Feb 2021 12:25:11 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/silver-is-close-to-something-big-2181 We have to keep our eyes on the bigger economic cycle. It helps in maintaining a proper perspective, and putting more emphasis on the bigger prize rather than the day to day movements. The historical relationship between silver and the stock market provides great insight as to where we are currently in this cycle. Traditionally, the best part of silver rallies come after a significant Dow peak. From previous work I have shared, it is clear that silver is still extremely cheap, and should be accumulated at these prices. The following comparison of silver and the Dow supports this, and gives us the proper perspective regarding the bigger economic cycle. Below, is a comparison of Silver and the Dow: The Dow/Gold ratio peak (marked as D/G) helps to put the Dow chart in perspective, and here it marks the start of the indicated cycles. There was a period of about 7 years from the 1966 Dow/Gold ratio peak to the 1973 Dow peak (DP). The 2020 Dow peak came about 21 y... Thu, 10 Sep 2020 12:48:16 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/get-big-prize-for-silver-1949 Today, if gold had the same kind of performance as the Dow since around the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, then it would have topped out at around $7 758 [(29568/78.78)*20.67]. Yet, it only has an all-time high of about $2 089. In 1973 gold was in a similar type of position. The Dow had peaked at 1067.2 (in Jan 1973), which represented a X13.55 (1067.2/78.78) since 1913. If gold had scored a similar performance, it would have had a peak of about $280 (13.55*20.67), yet its peak at that time (the beginning of 1973) was only around $70. Of course gold eventually reached $280 to match the Dow’s performance, and peaked at around $880 in 1980. Thus, in my opinion, it is virtually guaranteed that gold will again catch up with the Dow’s performance since 1913, and significantly surpass it just like in the 70s. This means we will likely see gold reach $7 758 (in the near future) and eventually go on to reach multiples of that high. I did a similar comparison for si... Mon, 17 Aug 2020 09:18:15 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/gold-death-of-dollar-1925 Previously, I have shown how the Dow has actually outperformed silver and gold since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913. Today, if silver had the same kind of performance as the Dow since around the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, then it would have topped out at $225.20 [(29568.6/78.78)*.6). Yet, it only topped out around $50 in 1980 and 2011. In 1973 silver was in a similar type of position. The Dow had peaked at 1067.2 (in Jan 1973), which represented a X13.55 (1067.2/78.78) since 1913. If silver scored a similar performance, it would have had a peak of $8.128, yet its peak at that time (the beginning of 1973) was only around $2.56, which was achieved in 1968. Of course silver eventually passed that $8.128-level (in 1979) towards the end of that bull market, and went much further. What was also interesting in 1973, was the fact that silver surpassed its all-time high in the same year that the Dow peaked (touched the all-time high about 5-months af... Tue, 21 Jul 2020 13:10:26 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/how-silver-could-surpass-its-all-time-high-1902 During the 70s bull market, gold went from $35 to $195 in the first phase. That was a 458% increase. The first phase of the current bull market took gold from $252 to $1920, which made for a 661% increase. At first glance, it would appear that the current bull market outperformed the 70s one. However, it only took about five years (1970 to 1975) to get the 458% increase, compared to the roughly ten years and five months it took to get the 661% increase. If the performance of the current bull market actually matched that of the 70s, then prices should have probably risen more than 1000%. The decline from the peak of the first phase of the 70s, took gold from $195.5 to $102.2, a 47.7% drop. The decline from the peak of the first phase of the current bull market, took gold from $1920 to $1041, a 45.8% drop. The declines are almost similar in extent (47.7% vs 45.8%), however; the decline in the 70s only took about one year and nine months, whereas the decline sinc... Wed, 08 Jul 2020 16:15:49 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/gold-new-all-time-highs-and-beyond-1895 Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the stock market has outperformed Gold and Silver significantly. Here is a great chart (from longtermtrends.net) that proves this: The S&P 500 is in red, the Dow in blue and Gold and Silver in their native colours. The outperformance is huge. Through the debt-based monetary system, the Fed facilitates the extension of credit which disproportionately benefits assets like general stocks and bonds. During each credit cycle, Silver and Gold prices mostly loses relative value to assets like general stocks and commodities. In other words, inflating the currency supply (inflation) does not benefit Gold and Silver relative to most other significant assets like stocks (the chart above is really the proof of this). It is only after a certain point in that inflating credit cycle that Gold and Silver are able to catch up. That is normally after significant stock market peaks. This was the case after the 1929 Dow p... Tue, 30 Jun 2020 07:08:49 +0000 https://goldbroker.com/news/silver-and-gold-balancing-more-than-100-years-of-debt-abuse-1888