Supply & Demand

The Hong Kong Imports into China are only a fraction of the gold delivered through the SGE.

Central banks have kept silent about this but it’s hard to believe that manipulating the foreign exchange market isn’t part of their policies; it’s probably also part of their new strategy.

An unexpected precipitating event like a black swan event in this uncertain environment will push gold and silver up with a quantum leap with gold leading. The geopolitical and economic environment in the last few months was in my view the calm before the storm.

Net gold imports into China via Hong Kong were 27 tonnes for the month of August.     The Hong Kong route has gone from being the major source for Chinese imports to a minor one as can be seen in the second chart where SGE Withdrawals were almost 190 tonnes for the month of August....

Parabolic moves always end in capitulation. Is it possible to go even further into this panic selling which now seems to feed itself, with long-term investors capitulating?

Gold holdings fell 0.54 m/oz for the week whilst silver holdings rose 2.4 m/oz.

It appears that the PM's put in a cyclical bottom today which if it is the case then we now have a tripple bottom in place for gold - a rare event.

Bull markets often dislodge all riders before setting out on their final climb.

US Mint bullion gold and silver coin sales surge in September

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