Supply & Demand

Oil has earned the nickname of black gold, especially since the crisis of the ‘70s and the explosion of its price. What is the relation between gold and oil? Is there one?

The London gold fix, the benchmark used by miners, jewelers and central banks to value the metal, may have been manipulated for a decade by the banks setting it, researchers say.

The bull market in gold and silver that started in 2000 seems to have ended in 2011, and a bear market started in 2013. Was gold in a speculative bubble such as we’ve known in the ‘70s, or was it only in a cyclical bull market, itself part of a secular bull market, that would lead later (2014-201...

Charts by Nick Laird. Chinese gold production plus net imports

  This chart by itself shows how much investors’ sentiment about the gold miners has reached a peak of pessimism not seen since 1943. Miners selling so cheap in relation to gold is a sign of historical capitulation all over the sector. Their valuations, in terms of P/E and business value,...

In the newspapers, one can read a lot of stupid things about gold. They say that gold needs inflation in order to go up. They say that gold moves in an opposite direction to the dollar. Those things are true sometimes, but not always. There is no mathematical relation between the two. They say t...

Paper gold sellers (probably banks like HSBC or JP Morgan) decided (jointly?) to hit the market hard on April 12 and 15, and on June 20 and 26, with so much selling that the effect on the price had to lead to a brutal collapse. On those four days of smashdown, the price of gold fell by $340! It s...

The loss of confidence towards central banks and their gold reserves constitutes the first step of the end game between physical and paper gold. Then investors will lose confidence in certain ETFs like GLD. And the game will end finally with the loss of confidence in the current fiat money syste...

Until 2011, each time gold seemed to be surging up there would be a correction, which is the mark of a sound bull market. On the other hand, from a fundamental point of view, or from a portfolio allocation or psychological point of view, gold was far from filling the criteria of a bubble.

Some recent charts by Nick Laird on the OCC Precious Metals Derivatives. All PM Derivatives & Gold Derivatives in Tonnes - All Maturities