Stefano Bottaioli

If you look at this ratio between precious metals and industrial metals which one is cheaper for you now? which one would you accumulate now? Copper or gold?

Gold: the reversal is in place according with the last chart...The train is leaving the station: are you on board? ....

The movements are alternating and now we are ready for another up leg. Double bottom and indicators suggest getting ready.

It is evident that silver is moving as in the past and as in the past the rise can be impressive.

This chart shows a comparison of Gold, Silver, VIX and HUI in 2008 and now. The extreme movements of volatility (VIX) have often accompanied movements of opposite sign in the precious metals. If we review the phase of extreme volatility seen in 2008, we find several similarities with the current...

We are entering the ideal period to accumulate silver.

The long-term silver chart shows - before any cyclical upward movement - an important element: a large double bottom.

After about two months of consolidation, gold has touched the red evolvent from which it immediately rebounded: this confirms not only that the structure is perfectly aligned to a bullish view, but that the red evolvent represents exactly the support to be monitored.

In the last few months, the gold/silver ratio has always remained in a range between 82-86, but the bearish wedge pattern makes possible a sudden fall in the ratio, which would favor silver in a surprising way.

In my last report, I signaled a technical structure with a rounded base and the weakness was still physiological but in perspective the second half would represent the ideal period for the breaking out of the resistance in the area $1350...

Since the 1980s, gold has a cyclicity that develops with a 15 year-old periodicity among the tops: beginning from 1980 (1st top) after 15 years we had the 1995 followed by the top of 2011.

Starting from the data of the ‘70s it is possible to elaborate a graph (on a logarithmic scale) that highlights a huge cup with the handle and that respects a cycle of minimums every 15 years.

The gold is completing a long rounded base and for now is making a series test of trendlines: at the moment the indicators still sustain a bullish structure that will be confirmed to the breakup of the descending trendline from the top of the 2011.