Rates

The real interest rates should remain low, so gold prices shouldn’t drop like a stone. Actually, in the longer run, when inflation creates some economic problems while the economic growth slows down, the yellow metal could finally benefit from the stagflationary conditions.

Like many fixed-income securities, the gold prices are completely detached from supply and demand. The mechanism for determining prices is distorted by ‘tools’ that enable the monetary authorities to alter the perception of their inflationary monetary policies.

With the foregoing risks at play, the best tactics for the current economic pitch involve longer-term preparation, a respect for historical lessons and a fundamental recognition that further and inevitable monetary and fiscal expansion can only mean further currency debasement and hence the longe...

It seems that gold is reacting now more to the decrease in the bond yields rather than to the changes in the US or EU monetary policies. As long as the interest rates are declining, gold is catching its breath. But this decrease may be temporary, so better watch out! Powell’s testimonies to Congr...

The American and European central banks - the Fed and the ECB - would have us believe that they will be able to raise their key rates when the time comes. In reality, they will have to choose between several crisis scenarios.

In the last few weeks, gold has not followed the curve of the rates and there is now a decorrelation between the 10-year rates and the gold price. Since 2009, the two indices have been following one another fairly closely, and the latest gaps between the curves of these two indices have always be...

The economic actors’ confidence regarding the central banks’ ability to correct this inflation, which they deem to be transitory, is certainly not open to question today. However, without rapid and specific action by these central banks (particularly on interest rates), this patience, which is al...

Real interest rates are negative in the U.S. across all maturities, which is in favor of gold. While debt is exploding and depreciating, the ratio of debt to GDP is also rising. There will be no return to normalcy. Collapse is inevitable when the paper money created loses its effect. And it will...

There are several important factors affecting gold prices. Many analysts focus mainly on the US dollar and real interest rates. However, what is sometimes even more important is economic confidence. Of course, the level of economic confidence is partially reflected in the strength of the greenbac...

Marc Friedrich interviews silver expert Keith Neumeyer, who has founded several silver companies and has been in the mining industry for decades. Now he foresees the biggest bull market in precious metals history and expects a three-digit silver price within the next few years.