Laurent Maurel  Gold & Silver Investment Research

   

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Gold Is Outperforming Bonds
Published by Laurent Maurel | Sep 8, 2021 | Articles 7028

Since the start of this century, gold has offered a far better return than bonds. It was this outperforming of the bonds by gold that took it into its bullish phase from 2002 to 2010. The central banks intervened in 2010 to break this cycle, but we have initiated a second cycle of gold outperforming the bonds market. Gold is continuing to bring in better returns than government bonds.

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Uncontrollable Inflation: A Danger For The U.S. Consumer
Published by Laurent Maurel | Aug 11, 2021 | Articles 6742

Acting straight away on the rates would have an even more devastating effect on the system as a whole. This is the impasse that the central banks have now got themselves into, in their interventionist policies. Acting straight away will break the engine. That’s what the math is telling us. Gold and silver directly owned in your name or held in an allocated account (and certainly not in an unallocated one) are the only insurance policies against the upcoming breaking or malfunctioning of the engine.

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Gold, The Ultimate Insurance Policy In A Dangerous Cycle Of Interventions And Price Rises
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 28, 2021 | Articles 8368

Time is now the monetary authorities’ enemy, in contrast to the other interventionist phases in which the inflation was under control. The longer these authorities delay acting, the further the rise in prices will spread. And the longer they wait, the more the risk of an urgent intervention to break this uncontrollable cycle increases. Gold remains the ultimate investment for covering this risk of a loss of control by the central banks in the very complicated task of managing the period to come.

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The COMEX Bombarded and Gold Purchases by the BRICS
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 22, 2021 | Articles 9192

The sales of futures on the COMEX market, now seen almost every day, are colliding with a background trend for the purchasing of gold by the other central banks, which are starting to lose patience and want to cover themselves in relation to the risks of devaluation of their assets in terms of state bonds and currencies, which are significantly impacted by the current levels of inflation.

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Gold Is Lagging Behind The Yields
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 7, 2021 | Articles 8047

In the last few weeks, gold has not followed the curve of the rates and there is now a decorrelation between the 10-year rates and the gold price. Since 2009, the two indices have been following one another fairly closely, and the latest gaps between the curves of these two indices have always been sealed at a short maturity in the past. The last time the rates were at this level, with a dollar as weak as this, gold was at around $1950, meaning that there is fairly sizeable potential for a further rise for gold if this catching up were to take place.

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Inflation Spreads Toward Europe
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 30, 2021 | Articles 8624

The economic actors’ confidence regarding the central banks’ ability to correct this inflation, which they deem to be transitory, is certainly not open to question today. However, without rapid and specific action by these central banks (particularly on interest rates), this patience, which is also transitory, is at risk of wearing thin. The barometer of this confidence is gold.

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Gold Is Oversold
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 23, 2021 | Articles 6646

What was it that caused the sheer scale of this fall? Did the Fed raise interest rates brusquely and sharply, leading to a reaction like this on gold? The conclusions of the Fed’s meeting last week are far from dramatic, though. Nonetheless, they had the effect of an electric shock.

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The Fed Backed Into A Corner - A Favorable Backdrop For Gold
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 15, 2021 | Articles 8234

The intervention by the central banks on the markets is scrambling the message. Assets that have become at risk, in this inflationary backdrop, are being given excessive valuations. By contrast, the values that protect against the upcoming inflation are still being evaluated at very low levels. At any event, this is a very favorable backdrop for assets like gold.

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Gold Price: Monthly Breakout
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 2, 2021 | Articles 10786

The price of gold rose above $1900 at the start of the week and has since stabilized around this level. It is the first time this important threshold has been reached since last January. In terms of the monthly charts, gold is in a confirmed breakout of its consolidation “flag” which will have lasted 9 months.

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An Increasingly Favorable Environment For Gold
Published by Laurent Maurel | May 18, 2021 | Articles 7663

For the time being, the breakout is contained, the gold prices are relatively controlled, and the figures for inflation and the value of the dollar ought to propel gold to greater heights, something that is not the case at the moment. This control of prices comes at a cost, however. Selling paper contracts on the Comex to keep the gold price from soaring is an increasingly costly move. The bullion banks have no choice, though: they must defend their short positions at any cost.

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