Is the Banking Crisis Really Over?

Published by Laurent Maurel | May 4, 2023 | 9931

The banking crisis, which is mainly affecting U.S. regional banks, has deepened this week. The Fed has spent $400 billion to save the banking sector and avoid bank runs. Jerome Powell just announced a pause in the rate hike, but that doesn't mean that the Fed will pivot: high rates will continue...

Read article



Can the United States Still Avoid a Recession?

Published by Laurent Maurel | Apr 14, 2023 | 12465

The debt/GDP ratio is now too high to continue the restrictive monetary policy. The Fed is stuck, it has no choice but to stop its fight against inflation in a context of economic slowdown. Stagflation is now inevitable. It is precisely this type of stalemate and stagflationary environment that g...

Read article

Is Silver Finally About to Break Its Resistance?

Published by Laurent Maurel | Apr 7, 2023 | 18500

The bullish impulse in silver prices is, in any case, very strong in recent weeks. The movement resembles the very bullish phases of 2010 and early 2020. Silver rises on "feverish rush". This is characteristic of a metal whose prices are highly regulated by the futures market and whose tangible u...

Read article




Rate Hikes Claim New Victims

Published by Laurent Maurel | Mar 9, 2023 | 10641

Rates have gone from 0% to 5% in a few months! This new rise in rates is putting pressure on the price of gold. The yellow metal is holding above $1,800, en route to its support just below that level.

Read article


Inflation Is Not Transitory

Published by Laurent Maurel | Feb 24, 2023 | 12368

Gold is still very high relative to rates, probably because of the US fiscal risk and new inflationary expectations. This strength is also explained by the worsening geopolitical context and the stalemate in the Ukraine. Any threat of new sanctions now acts as a support for the price of gold.

Read article

The Important Role of Gold in Corporate Treasury

Published by Laurent Maurel | Feb 15, 2023 | 12084

Savers are not the only ones who have become poorer in the last two decades. Companies have also experienced a shortfall compared to the gold prices rise. If these companies had invested even a small part of their cash flow in gold, it would have greatly improved their financial situation...

Read article


Metal Inventories Continue to Fall

Published by Laurent Maurel | Feb 2, 2023 | 23555

Regardless of the extent of the economic slowdown, and the extent of future demand, metal supply is being revised downwards in most markets. Forecasts for 2023 suggest that inventory levels will not follow the usual intrinsic demand cycle. Indeed, we are already seeing real "runs" in some markets...

Read article

US Recession Postponed, Debt Wall Looming

Published by Laurent Maurel | Jan 27, 2023 | 13315

Despite the positive effect of inflation on these payroll tax receipts, the amount the government has to pay to pay down its debts and for its public spending programs is far too high for these inflationary revenue increases to affect the overall figure: the United States is in a budgetary bind.

Read article




Precious Metals Outperformed Stocks And Bonds In 2022

Published by Laurent Maurel | Dec 30, 2022 | 13234

As we close out the year 2022, it must be admitted that the performance of gold and silver prices in 2022 has surprised many analysts. The performance of precious metals is all the more remarkable in the face of sharp declines in equity and bond markets. Gold is outperforming the indices by more...

Read article

Laurent Maurel's 10 popular articles

We put safety at the core of our business