Mining

In addition to discussing the Fed’s total failure in controlling inflation, in this article I will also stick my neck out in the climate debate before I go on to the likely disastrous effects of debts, deficits and inflation will have on investment markets.

As lawmakers around the world congratulate themselves on taming this year, the charts of Oil, Copper and Gold suggest the biggest inflation is ahead of us.

The multitude of macro drivers supporting the onset of another gold cycle is truly remarkable. Amplified by the prevailing skepticism surrounding the metal, we are arguably experiencing the most important time in gold's history.

Gold mining companies have a significant influence on the price of the yellow metal. With demand for physical gold tending to run out of steam in the first quarter of 2023, the pressure on production costs raises questions about the outlook for the gold price.

It is as if gold and silver are waiting for the resolution of the US debt ceiling talks. In addition to debt risk, the other risk of blowout is now in the U.S. housing market.

The realization of the disconnection between the paper market and physical supply is likely to come very late: it is only when copper reserves are almost exhausted that the importance of physical versus paper will be truly measured. This sudden realization, which will also occur in silver, could...

Let's decipher the fundamentals of the silver market and the outlook for 2023. The latest World Silver Survey 2023 shows that the silver supply gap is historic and quite significant. This supply deficit alone represents 20% of total market demand !

Central banks are buying at a historic pace, demand for physical gold is rising sharply, and gold mining production is stagnating due to rising costs. This trend is indicative of a new equilibrium that is, so far, a bullish factor for the gold price.

Savers are not the only ones who have become poorer in the last two decades. Companies have also experienced a shortfall compared to the gold prices rise. If these companies had invested even a small part of their cash flow in gold, it would have greatly improved their financial situation...

Regardless of the extent of the economic slowdown, and the extent of future demand, metal supply is being revised downwards in most markets. Forecasts for 2023 suggest that inventory levels will not follow the usual intrinsic demand cycle. Indeed, we are already seeing real "runs" in some markets...