In 2024, with almost one in five ounces now dedicated to the photovoltaic industry, tensions on the silver market are mounting. Against this backdrop, the price of the grey metal would be headed for good prospects. While the breakout from the $26/oz level has now been confirmed, analysis of the beha...

France is known for having the 4th largest stock of gold in the world, even though the country ranks 23rd in wealth per capita. In fact, over 2,400 tons of gold, or €146 billion at €60,000/kg, are stored in the vaults at 39 Rue Croix des Petits Champs in Paris. But do the French own so much gold pri...

In a January 2024 publication, JP Morgan unveiled its outlook for the gold price. The world's leading bank, with a market capitalization of over $500 billion, stated that “a cutting cycle is expected to be positive for bullion and supportive of a rally in prices in the second half of 2024”.

Visibility on the fundamentals of the gold price remains as good as ever. It is therefore timely for us to present and detail our outlook for 2024. Gold's performance in 2024 will be influenced by 4 major factors.

Is the price of gold linked to other markets? Conversely, is the price of gold independent of market trends? This question is all the more important as gold is often perceived as a "safe-haven" asset, capable of behaving independently of other markets. In this paper, we will focus on the short-term,...

In this article, we analyze gold's monthly performance. First of all, it appears that "minimal" monthly variations account for the vast majority of gold price variations. In other words, most of the time, the price of gold follows a channelled, low-volatility pattern.

A recent NBER study shows the close link between the price of gold and the level of real interest rates. This study has attracted criticism for gold, and a Bloomberg article entitled "Gold is no longer a safe haven" has caused quite a stir. In this article, we will demonstrate that the arguments put...

This article focuses on a complex property of the gold market: timing. The price of gold can sometimes stagnate for more than a decade, while at other times it can rise dramatically. Even so, gold remains an asset that is more difficult to determine by precise financial cycles.

Gold mining companies have a significant influence on the price of the yellow metal. With demand for physical gold tending to run out of steam in the first quarter of 2023, the pressure on production costs raises questions about the outlook for the gold price.

Let's decipher the fundamentals of the silver market and the outlook for 2023. The latest World Silver Survey 2023 shows that the silver supply gap is historic and quite significant. This supply deficit alone represents 20% of total market demand !

When are economic conditions favorable for the price of gold? Are there technical configurations that are more favorable than others for buying gold? In this paper we propose to conduct an empirical analysis that is essential to any good investor in gold.

Central banks are buying at a historic pace, demand for physical gold is rising sharply, and gold mining production is stagnating due to rising costs. This trend is indicative of a new equilibrium that is, so far, a bullish factor for the gold price.

The usefulness of fractals as a mathematical tool in forecasting and investment decisions is absolutely significant. After introducing the concept of fractals in this article, we will focus on the question of whether or not the price of gold is indeed time dependent.

FTX bankruptcy reminds us how important it is to pay attention to one's intermediaries on the one hand, and to the security of one's assets on the other. In this context, gold stands out from cryptocurrencies and reminds us once again of the lack of comparability between both assets.

2022 will have confirmed our expectations. The price of gold has (so far) remained broadly stable with sharp movements linked in particular to the war in Ukraine. However, as we have shown, these movements are symmetrical with the past evolution of gold prices. Although the year 2022 is not over, th...

As the constraints of rationing, loss of purchasing power and taxation of wealth loom large, this situation is reminiscent of the 1930s and Franklin Delano Roosevelt's confiscation of gold.

How does the price of gold coordinate the players in the gold market? Investors, miners, central banks, funds, individuals, etc. How has the behavior of each of these agents been historically influenced by the price of gold? This question is rarely asked by market specialists and yet deserves to be...

What is the difference between gold and the companies that mine it? What is the profile of the mining companies? What are the different risks and performances associated with mining companies compared to the gold price? These are all questions that are essential to understanding the gold market.

The idea that an increase in the quantity of money in circulation has no impact on prices is historically and mathematically wrong. As we will detail exclusively here, it is important to understand the mechanics that link money creation and inflation over time.

As public debt in the eurozone approaches 12 trillion (95.6% of GDP), the single European currency has never been so threatened by structural instabilities. On the one hand, the ECB's key interest rate changes are increasingly inappropriate for such a differentiated monetary union. On the other hand...