Thomas Andrieu

With nearly 80% of the metal supply coming from mining, the cost of production appears to be the determining variable in market valuation. This cost conditions the profitability of mining companies, influences the metal's floor price and can even affect the decisions of investors and central bank...

Since the crisis in 2020, the US stock market has grown at a sustained rate of +20% per year. Since 2022, this rise has been further accentuated by the rise of artificial intelligence. Despite the momentum of innovation and continued growth in the US, the strength of this bull market is raising q...

For the third year running, our forecasts for the price of gold have come true. While a sharp fall in the gold price seems unlikely in 2025, attention is now focused on the intensity of the trend.

Gold's appearance predates that of iron by several millennia, and coincides approximately with that of copper. It has also been established that the precious metal was used by certain civilizations even before the birth of writing. The history of gold never ceases to amaze, to the point where we...

Gold is world-renowned for its physical properties, but it is also in great demand for its financial qualities. Most of the world's major asset managers and central banks hold gold, while a large proportion of the public remains unaware of the benefits of the golden metal. In financial theory, go...

Is gold still the foundation of our monetary system? This question is worth asking as central banks accumulate record quantities of the golden metal. In fact, a detailed study of central bank gold inventories reveals a certain consistency in the monetary strategy of most countries.

In 2024, with almost one in five ounces now dedicated to the photovoltaic industry, tensions on the silver market are mounting. Against this backdrop, the price of the grey metal would be headed for good prospects. While the breakout from the $26/oz level has now been confirmed, analysis of the b...

France is known for having the 4th largest stock of gold in the world, even though the country ranks 23rd in wealth per capita. In fact, over 2,400 tons of gold, or €146 billion at €60,000/kg, are stored in the vaults at 39 Rue Croix des Petits Champs in Paris. But do the French own so much gold...

In a January 2024 publication, JP Morgan unveiled its outlook for the gold price. The world's leading bank, with a market capitalization of over $500 billion, stated that “a cutting cycle is expected to be positive for bullion and supportive of a rally in prices in the second half of 2024”.

Visibility on the fundamentals of the gold price remains as good as ever. It is therefore timely for us to present and detail our outlook for 2024. Gold's performance in 2024 will be influenced by 4 major factors.

Is the price of gold linked to other markets? Conversely, is the price of gold independent of market trends? This question is all the more important as gold is often perceived as a "safe-haven" asset, capable of behaving independently of other markets. In this paper, we will focus on the short-te...

In this article, we analyze gold's monthly performance. First of all, it appears that "minimal" monthly variations account for the vast majority of gold price variations. In other words, most of the time, the price of gold follows a channelled, low-volatility pattern.

A recent NBER study shows the close link between the price of gold and the level of real interest rates. This study has attracted criticism for gold, and a Bloomberg article entitled "Gold is no longer a safe haven" has caused quite a stir. In this article, we will demonstrate that the arguments...

This article focuses on a complex property of the gold market: timing. The price of gold can sometimes stagnate for more than a decade, while at other times it can rise dramatically. Even so, gold remains an asset that is more difficult to determine by precise financial cycles.

Gold mining companies have a significant influence on the price of the yellow metal. With demand for physical gold tending to run out of steam in the first quarter of 2023, the pressure on production costs raises questions about the outlook for the gold price.

Let's decipher the fundamentals of the silver market and the outlook for 2023. The latest World Silver Survey 2023 shows that the silver supply gap is historic and quite significant. This supply deficit alone represents 20% of total market demand !

When are economic conditions favorable for the price of gold? Are there technical configurations that are more favorable than others for buying gold? In this paper we propose to conduct an empirical analysis that is essential to any good investor in gold.

Central banks are buying at a historic pace, demand for physical gold is rising sharply, and gold mining production is stagnating due to rising costs. This trend is indicative of a new equilibrium that is, so far, a bullish factor for the gold price.

The usefulness of fractals as a mathematical tool in forecasting and investment decisions is absolutely significant. After introducing the concept of fractals in this article, we will focus on the question of whether or not the price of gold is indeed time dependent.

FTX bankruptcy reminds us how important it is to pay attention to one's intermediaries on the one hand, and to the security of one's assets on the other. In this context, gold stands out from cryptocurrencies and reminds us once again of the lack of comparability between both assets.