Silver

From a market perspective, there was one important lesson from both 1940s and 1970s periods: At times when investable assets yield less than inflation, owning tangible assets becomes imperative. Commodities were far-and-away the best performing asset class in both of those decades.

Some of the brightest minds in finance, Grant Williams, Egon von Greyerz, and Ronnie Stoeferle discuss fiscal policy, the "crack-up boom," inflation, liquidity, and of course gold and silver in these highlights from a recent discussion.

The sales of futures on the COMEX market, now seen almost every day, are colliding with a background trend for the purchasing of gold by the other central banks, which are starting to lose patience and want to cover themselves in relation to the risks of devaluation of their assets in terms of state bonds and currencies, which are significantly impacted by the current levels of inflation.

Like many fixed-income securities, the gold prices are completely detached from supply and demand. The mechanism for determining prices is distorted by ‘tools’ that enable the monetary authorities to alter the perception of their inflationary monetary policies.

As sympathetic as the Wall Street Silver movement is and as effective as it is in drying up the retail supply chain, it is the Basel III rules that will revolutionize the silver wholesale market and the global demand for photovoltaics, which is going to push prices upward at the end of 2021 and more so next year

With the foregoing risks at play, the best tactics for the current economic pitch involve longer-term preparation, a respect for historical lessons and a fundamental recognition that further and inevitable monetary and fiscal expansion can only mean further currency debasement and hence the longer-term re-pricing (i.e., rise) in gold valuation.

Banks clearing gold trades in London can apply for an exemption from tighter capital rules due in January 2022, a British regulator said on Friday, removing what some said was a threat to the functioning of the market.

In the last few weeks, gold has not followed the curve of the rates and there is now a decorrelation between the 10-year rates and the gold price. Since 2009, the two indices have been following one another fairly closely, and the latest gaps between the curves of these two indices have always been sealed at a short maturity in the past. The last time the rates were at this level, with a dollar as weak as this, gold was at around $1950, meaning that there is fairly sizeable potential for a further rise for gold if this catching up were to take place.

On the one hand gold signifies stability, wealth and the only currency that has survived in history and maintained its purchasing power. That is why governments around the world allegedly hold 34,000 tonnes of it currently valued at $2 trillion. On the other hand governments hate gold since it reveals their total mismanagement of the economy.

An ideal setup. The gold-to-silver ratio looks ready to tumble again. It’s what you would expect in a bull market for precious metals.