News

The Cycle of Evil

Published by Egon Von Greyerz | Nov 5, 2023 | 11182

We are on the inevitable road to perdition for the world economy & financial system, ending in a potential global conflict of uncontrollable proportions. Evil begets evil as The Cycle of Evil hits countries at the end of an uncontrollable debt expansion.

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Economic Outlook on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Published by Julien Chevalier | Nov 1, 2023 | 11278

Escalating geopolitical tensions and the risk of aggravation in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict are adding new challenges to a fragmented world. The international economic and financial system can only emerge from this situation weaker, as inflation persists and growth remains weak....

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Gold Breaking Out vs. US Banks

Published by Mike Roy | Oct 31, 2023 | 12930

This week we will look at the performance of gold compared to the United States financial sector. When this relationship is rising, it can be said that investors are showing a preference for hard money. When it is falling, investors are showing more confidence in the paper money system.

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Credit Crunch in the U.S

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 19, 2023 | 11015

The rise in interest rates initiated by the Fed has had a devastating effect on bonds, which were massively purchased by banks, insurers and pension funds when rates were low. The question is whether this fragility in the banking and insurance sector is likely to trigger a credit crunch.

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Recent Gold Price Volatility Requires A Broader View

Published by Mike Roy | Oct 18, 2023 | 14715

Gold investors feel like they have been on a rollercoaster this month, as price has ranged from as low as $1,810 to as high as $1,932. Sometimes, a pick up in volatility means that a big move lies ahead. Most often, an increase in volatility is a wise opportunity to take a step back and look at th...

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Geopolitics and Economics: Back to the 1970s

Published by Philippe Herlin | Oct 12, 2023 | 12311

Fifty years to the day after the Yom Kippur War, the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel stunned the world with its brutality and suddenness. It was anticipated that this war would last longer than the previous one (less than twenty days, from October 6 to 25, 1973), with the threat of global repercuss...

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Bond Markets Remain Under Stress

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 5, 2023 | 14218

The current bond crash is historic. The EDV ETF, which measures the price of very long-dated US Treasuries, has fallen by 58% in just over a year. The bond market's current fall is now greater than that recorded by the equity market during the last financial crisis in 2008 (-56%).

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Central Banks and Inflation: Where Are We Headed?

Published by Julien Chevalier | Oct 3, 2023 | 10866

As central banks continue their headlong rush to the top, they are faced with a Cornelian dilemma: bring inflation down to 2% at the risk of triggering an unprecedented economic and financial crisis, or allow prices to rise, which would call into question their mandate and lead to social upheaval.

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