Financial crisis

The rise in interest rates initiated by the Fed has had a devastating effect on bonds, which were massively purchased by banks, insurers and pension funds when rates were low. The question is whether this fragility in the banking and insurance sector is likely to trigger a credit crunch.

Inflation seems to be picking up again in the United States. In addition to the geopolitical situation, there is also likely to be a great deal of unrest on the US debt front.

The current bond crash is historic. The EDV ETF, which measures the price of very long-dated US Treasuries, has fallen by 58% in just over a year. The bond market's current fall is now greater than that recorded by the equity market during the last financial crisis in 2008 (-56%).

As central banks continue their headlong rush to the top, they are faced with a Cornelian dilemma: bring inflation down to 2% at the risk of triggering an unprecedented economic and financial crisis, or allow prices to rise, which would call into question their mandate and lead to social upheaval.

The ECB has just raised its deposit rate to 4% and halted its sovereign debt repurchases, with the stated aim of stamping out inflation. Unfortunately, this will probably have little effect, as oil prices are slowly but surely climbing.

Some people know the story of the Gold Rush from the Charlie Chaplin film, others from TV shows or books of all kinds. At the very least, historians consider this period to be one of the most significant of the 19th century. Both fascinating and structuring, it is particularly revealing of Americ...

Precious metal prices, particularly silver, are closely linked to energy prices. Bank demand for gold looks set to be extremely strong in the final quarter of 2023, especially as the banking crisis is likely to spread internationally, as it did in 2008.

It is becoming clearer an clearer that China will not be the leading power in tomorrow's world. Since the pandemic, China's economy and banking sector have been in dire straits. The country is looking for new sources of growth. At the BRICS summit, held in Johannesburg from August 22 to 24, Xi Ji...

For years Matthew Piepenburg and Egon von Greyerz have warned investors about the consequences of a system based on unlimited money printing, debt creation and money debasement. The world economy and the financial system is now on the cusp of a precipice. No one can forecast when the coming viole...

A recent NBER study shows the close link between the price of gold and the level of real interest rates. This study has attracted criticism for gold, and a Bloomberg article entitled "Gold is no longer a safe haven" has caused quite a stir. In this article, we will demonstrate that the arguments...