Rates

The Danish bank, Saxo Bank, has become famous for publishing every year a series of ten "outrageous predictions" that are supposed to profoundly change our societies in the coming year. The exercise is difficult and these predictions rarely come true. But they have the merit of pointing out problems...

Insiders are selling and the number of new margin accounts is skyrocketing, at a time when the markets have never been so expensive and fragile. Fear is well and truly present here...but so too is confidence. And it is this confidence that is dominating the sentiment of the markets. The central bank...

Egon von Greyerz and Ronni Stoeferle conclude their two-part Zurich discussion by addressing gold’s role in the context of current rate, currency and bond market forces.

The next stage of the inflationary cycle that we are currently traversing will involve efforts to control the prices by the authorities, which will logically trigger even more pronounced shortages in a production chain that is already greatly weakened by the sanitary crisis and by the rise in transp...

Kevin Smith & Tavi Costa make the very compelling case that gold, silver and the precious metals mining companies are poised for tremendous upside ahead, as part of the Great Rotation they see coming.

Egon and Ronnie discuss their individual journeys toward recognizing the timeless, paramount, yet oft ignored, role that gold plays in intelligent wealth preservation and risk hedging in a market landscape that is becoming increasingly centralized. As Ronnie observes, real capitalism requires failur...

The ECB is making a mockery of the world: it is shirking its responsibilities (printing money, zero interest rate), it is being lax with the banking system (insufficient capital), it refuses to recognize the damage it is causing (bubbles in equities, bonds and real estate), it refrains from lecturin...

These interventions on the futures markets now only have very transitory effects, and at the same time, they are reinforcing the tensions on the physical side. Each enforced correction on the paper market prompts a veritable run on the physical metal. This holds true for the entire metals compartmen...

A month ago, coal and industrial metals were at their all-time highs. If inflation stays at this rate for 5 years, nothing of the purchasing power of money remains.

Obviously, (ex-post) real rates are very important to the gold price. In the 1970s gold skyrocketed when real rates for two times in a row hit -5%. Can it happen again if inflation proves not be transitory and real rates stay negative?