Supply & Demand

This week, we'll look at both the long and short term relative performance of Bitcoin and gold to see if we can find any clues about which asset will perform better going forward.

This week, we'll look at several interesting ratio charts that plot gold against some of the world's best known consumer brands (McDonald's, Nike, Verizon, Target).

Do Microsoft's results mark the end of a cycle for growth stocks? Will the prospect of lower rates be enough to reverse the current trend in investor sentiment towards technology stocks?

Is gold still the foundation of our monetary system? This question is worth asking as central banks accumulate record quantities of the golden metal. In fact, a detailed study of central bank gold inventories reveals a certain consistency in the monetary strategy of most countries.

The US real estate market is paralyzed as it awaits a Fed rate cut, while the reduction of import duties on gold in India stimulates demand for precious metals.

The collapse of the correlation between the gold price and real interest rates raises many questions. In the old paradigm, it was unthinkable that the gold price would trend firmer during a phase of sharply rising real interest rates. Gold and gold investors are now entering terra incognita.

Taking stock of Brexit also means recalling the historical events of the past few years. The poor economic results are in fact as much attributable to Brexit as to the many recent crises, ranging from the health crisis to the Ukrainian-Russian war and geopolitical tensions around the world.

Gold will probably continue to rise until ETF outstandings reach their highest levels, which is still a long way off. Especially as demand for physical gold remains very strong. Despite the high price of an ounce of gold, central banks continue to buy precious metals on a massive scale.

Current history shows a decline in US monetary hegemony, marked by a series of de-dollarisation announcements and a reduction in dollar reserves in central banks, signalling a change in international trade, particularly in commodities such as oil.

There continues to be a heavy amount of pessimism toward silver on social media these days, but if you've noticed, most of these analysts are speculators trading on very short term charts. We're coming up on both the quarterly and 6-month close, so this week we'll look at those charts.