Financial markets

We are at a turning point. Markets are behaving as if the liquidity party could last forever, even though the hidden reserve that supported it has disappeared. And it is precisely this kind of configuration that paves the way for the most brutal reversals.

The long-term outlook – sustained inflation and long-term interest rates anchored on an upward trajectory – is one of the pillars supporting gold prices over the long term. This is particularly true given that, at this stage, no one is really significantly exposed to it.

The US government has started levying tariffs on 1-kilo and 100-ounce gold bars, a decision that could upend long-standing trade routes and disrupt the flow of bullion from Switzerland to the United States.

Some investors choose to defer their investment in gold, arguing that gold is “too expensive.” This article therefore aims to measure the opportunity cost incurred by an investor who decides to delay investing in gold.

This week, we will revisit a blast from the past when we looked at three fun ratio charts to see if we could pick up any clues about the future direction of the gold price.

Debt is in bad shape, especially its premium component, US Federal debt, due to Trump's budget deficit, which is becoming increasingly difficult to finance. We are witnessing the beginnings of a flight from the bond market towards assets which have intrinsic value: gold.

Japan is said to have agreed, in return for tariff cuts, to use part of its sovereign wealth funds to finance US strategic projects. Confidence is crumbling. Gold is becoming the last credible refuge for Japanese households and institutions.

Government bonds are no longer perceived as risk-free assets, and their long-term growth potential is now in doubt. In this context, accelerating the pace of debt emissions becomes a real challenge. If the Fed were in turn to intervene in very short maturities to artificially support Treasury emi...

The UK bond market is under pressure, in an unstable global context marked by friction between the Fed and the Treasury and high sensitivity to uncertainty. Physical gold is becoming an instrument of economic survival and a bulwark against the erratic decisions of the authorities.

Many banks, governments and large funds are buying gold on a massive scale via perfectly legal but off-market channels. This is a growing trend, mainly in the Middle East and Asia, which makes the measurement of gold's value more complex than it first appears.