Financial markets

The stress observed in cryptocurrencies and silver is not a mere epiphenomenon: it is the first sign of a market regime that is beginning to strain beneath the surface.

Friday, January 30, 2026, will go down as a landmark date in the gold and silver markets. Both metals recorded their sharpest daily swing since at least the 1980s, bringing several weeks of intense speculation to an abrupt end.

On Thursday in New York, gold opened at $5,630. The following day, it hit a low of $4,700, a difference of nearly $1,000 in just 24 hours. Meanwhile, in Shanghai, physical gold closed at $5,209. How can we explain such price discrepancies between different markets? And above all, how can we justi...

The break in the Dollar Index below its long-term trend is not simply a technical accident. It reflects a much deeper change. In this context, precious metals are regaining their monetary function.

In an environment marked by persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions, and record government debt, the historical reflex would have been to seek refuge primarily in gold. However, it is equity ETFs and passive strategies that are capturing most of the inflows. Not out of deep conviction, but ou...

The rise in financial optimism comes at a time when the real economy is beginning to turn around. Historically, this type of dynamic precedes recessions. In this context, gold does not reflect a past crisis; it insures against a loss of future visibility.

With volatility no longer allowed to play its warning role, investors seek protection outside the system, independent of options and timing. Gold captures this long-term monetary mistrust, while silver, which is narrower and more sensitive to marginal flows, reacts more explosively.

The evolution of the gold price in 2026 remains conditioned by the prospect of lower key interest rates in the United States, changes in liquidity and demand for investment, jewelry, and central banks.

2026 will be a year of truth: either the system absorbs the shock and reconfigures itself, or it breaks down. And it is in this rupture, rather than in continuity, that the real rotation of capital will take place.

We are facing an extremely rare situation: the VIX is close to its lowest level in a year, around 14, while the price of gold is reaching historic highs. Under normal circumstances, this coexistence does not exist.