Gold

The US real estate market is paralyzed as it awaits a Fed rate cut, while the reduction of import duties on gold in India stimulates demand for precious metals.

The collapse of the correlation between the gold price and real interest rates raises many questions. In the old paradigm, it was unthinkable that the gold price would trend firmer during a phase of sharply rising real interest rates. Gold and gold investors are now entering terra incognita.

This week, we will look at an index of major gold mining stocks, HUI, and see that while the index does a nice job of identifying gold peaks and bottoms, mining stocks generally have not provided the positive leverage to the metals that precious metals investors sometimes claim.

Gold is currently benefiting from concerns over the dual problem of debt and deficit in the United States. The more tangible the signs of economic slowdown, the more gold will succeed in reaching highs.

As political parties, currencies, stocks, bonds and other bubble assets fall, the indisputable winners will be gold and silver.

Gold will probably continue to rise until ETF outstandings reach their highest levels, which is still a long way off. Especially as demand for physical gold remains very strong. Despite the high price of an ounce of gold, central banks continue to buy precious metals on a massive scale.

We'll try to understand how a recession manifests itself and how long it takes to materialize. As a reminder, recessions are often beneficial for gold price growth.

The global economic slowdown is having a direct impact on the accelerating depreciation of the Japanese currency. Under these conditions, the price of gold in yen continues its parabolic rise.

Current history shows a decline in US monetary hegemony, marked by a series of de-dollarisation announcements and a reduction in dollar reserves in central banks, signalling a change in international trade, particularly in commodities such as oil.

The slowdown in the US economy is amplified by structural problems in the labor market and inflation, masked by a rise in part-time employment and temporary support measures, with an increased risk of recession due to the prolonged inversion of the yield curve.