Mining

Not Your Mother's Inflation
Published by Otavio Costa | Aug 1, 2021 | Articles 2838

From a market perspective, there was one important lesson from both 1940s and 1970s periods: At times when investable assets yield less than inflation, owning tangible assets becomes imperative. Commodities were far-and-away the best performing asset class in both of those decades.

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The COMEX Bombarded and Gold Purchases by the BRICS
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 22, 2021 | Articles 8072

The sales of futures on the COMEX market, now seen almost every day, are colliding with a background trend for the purchasing of gold by the other central banks, which are starting to lose patience and want to cover themselves in relation to the risks of devaluation of their assets in terms of state bonds and currencies, which are significantly impacted by the current levels of inflation.

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Gold Is Lagging Behind The Yields
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 7, 2021 | Articles 7612

In the last few weeks, gold has not followed the curve of the rates and there is now a decorrelation between the 10-year rates and the gold price. Since 2009, the two indices have been following one another fairly closely, and the latest gaps between the curves of these two indices have always been sealed at a short maturity in the past. The last time the rates were at this level, with a dollar as weak as this, gold was at around $1950, meaning that there is fairly sizeable potential for a further rise for gold if this catching up were to take place.

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Inflation Spreads Toward Europe
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 30, 2021 | Articles 8026

The economic actors’ confidence regarding the central banks’ ability to correct this inflation, which they deem to be transitory, is certainly not open to question today. However, without rapid and specific action by these central banks (particularly on interest rates), this patience, which is also transitory, is at risk of wearing thin. The barometer of this confidence is gold.

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Gold Is Oversold
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 23, 2021 | Articles 6151

What was it that caused the sheer scale of this fall? Did the Fed raise interest rates brusquely and sharply, leading to a reaction like this on gold? The conclusions of the Fed’s meeting last week are far from dramatic, though. Nonetheless, they had the effect of an electric shock.

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The Fed Backed Into A Corner - A Favorable Backdrop For Gold
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 15, 2021 | Articles 7783

The intervention by the central banks on the markets is scrambling the message. Assets that have become at risk, in this inflationary backdrop, are being given excessive valuations. By contrast, the values that protect against the upcoming inflation are still being evaluated at very low levels. At any event, this is a very favorable backdrop for assets like gold.

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Gold Price: Monthly Breakout
Published by Laurent Maurel | Jun 2, 2021 | Articles 10417

The price of gold rose above $1900 at the start of the week and has since stabilized around this level. It is the first time this important threshold has been reached since last January. In terms of the monthly charts, gold is in a confirmed breakout of its consolidation “flag” which will have lasted 9 months.

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