Mining

Gold is today at a price that still does not take into account what has happened these last months and what will happen with respect to the coming avalanche of Treasury auctions to come.

Inflation expectations continue their dizzying increase: the 10-year expected inflation went up from 0.8% to 2.4% in only a few months... Against such a background, gold has, of course, continued its upward movement, following its worst first quarter since 1982.

Every hyperinflationist event in history has resulted in a monetary collapse. It is not the increase in demand for goods and services or an aggressive rate policy that has caused these hyperinflations. These phenomena have always been due to poor monetary policies, involving currency devaluation. Hyperinflation occurs through a change in perception compared to the monetary policy of the central bank.

Since January, gold has come back to the bottom of its consolidation flag, then in fact regained its bear trend set off in this dollar short squeeze. This was decision time for gold, at a crucial moment where we are witnessing a exhaustion of the dollar short squeeze and a cracking of the entire bond market, both at the same time. Within the next few days, gold is going to have to decide if it will regain its status as a safe haven.

A wind of change is blowing for gold. Two weeks ago, precious metals prices were falling whereas yields on U.S Treasury bonds were rising. This week, sales of bonds continue but gold stopped its fall and started a rebound.

At present, gold in any case is continuing its correction in this context of rising interest rates. Disengagement on gold ETFS funds continued last week after a record 12 consecutive days of decrease. The last liquidation of these ETFS that was so intense goes back to the correction of December 2016. Opinions about gold have never been this low in the past 5 years, with the Gold OPTIX index measuring investor optimism on the precious metal security has gone back below autumn 2019.

The macro stage is set. The genie is out of the bottle. The list of macro, fundamental and technical reasons to be long precious metals today is extensive. It is more than just a “short squeeze” in silver.

Is the silver market of interest to the traders? Cheaper than gold, this asset would also be "undervalued" according to Étienne Dargent, director of GoldBroker.com. He assures that the grey metal has a strong potential and can represent a real alternative to bitcoin and gold.

A number of Reddit users on the popular r/WallStreetBets forum have said they are planning to launch a coordinated effort to target silver as their next short-squeeze target.

We are in the endgame! The endgame of central banks, the endgame of the monetary system and even the end game of the whole system. Grant Williams (ex-banker and investor) shares this view.