Supply & Demand

Gold has just broken all its historical records, but we will certainly experience a consolidation phase before the real takeoff.

Gold is breaking records in dollars, but also in euros. In Japan, gold is reaching dizzying heights: the depreciation of the currency is even more pronounced in the land of the rising sun.

This week, we will look at the ratio of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) to silver. When the value of this ratio is high, investors prefer to be in stocks; when it is low, investors prefer to be invested in silver.

Currently, the preferred scenario is that of a soft landing for the US economy, while the prospect of a recession is now largely dismissed by most analysts. The fact that the gold price remains above the $2,000 mark reflects concerns about US monetary and fiscal policy.

This week we will look at the CRB Index chart, a broad proxy for the global commodities market that includes gold and silver, highlighting a bullish trend and recent inflationary breakout and we will look at is the ratio of silver to the CRB.

Gold is once again the preferred investment in Asia, to the detriment of the stock market and real estate. In the West, we're not seeing a gold rush, but rather a rush into technology stocks.

The history of gold spans several millennia and the entire globe. The cornerstone of civilizations, used as a medium of exchange and then as a standard, gold as a currency helped create trust between individuals. As the heart of the global economy shifted, so did the world's gold reserves.

2024 could be the year of major social and political upheavals. Bad-mouthing gold does not prevent a crisis, it exacerbates it, because it deprives the population of the golden safety net. Without a safety net, people are known to fall deeper and harder.

Inflation in the United States is creating tensions between the Fed and the Treasury on monetary policy, resulting in market repercussions with stock declines, bond yield increases, and a correction in gold due to sales in derivative markets.

The next big run in gold is much closer than the majority of investors seem to believe.