Articles




Credit Crunch in the U.S

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 19, 2023 | 9894

The rise in interest rates initiated by the Fed has had a devastating effect on bonds, which were massively purchased by banks, insurers and pension funds when rates were low. The question is whether this fragility in the banking and insurance sector is likely to trigger a credit crunch.

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Recent Gold Price Volatility Requires A Broader View

Published by Mike Roy | Oct 18, 2023 | 12600

Gold investors feel like they have been on a rollercoaster this month, as price has ranged from as low as $1,810 to as high as $1,932. Sometimes, a pick up in volatility means that a big move lies ahead. Most often, an increase in volatility is a wise opportunity to take a step back and look at th...

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Geopolitics and Economics: Back to the 1970s

Published by Philippe Herlin | Oct 12, 2023 | 10074

Fifty years to the day after the Yom Kippur War, the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel stunned the world with its brutality and suddenness. It was anticipated that this war would last longer than the previous one (less than twenty days, from October 6 to 25, 1973), with the threat of global repercuss...

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Bond Markets Remain Under Stress

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 5, 2023 | 12412

The current bond crash is historic. The EDV ETF, which measures the price of very long-dated US Treasuries, has fallen by 58% in just over a year. The bond market's current fall is now greater than that recorded by the equity market during the last financial crisis in 2008 (-56%).

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Central Banks and Inflation: Where Are We Headed?

Published by Julien Chevalier | Oct 3, 2023 | 8956

As central banks continue their headlong rush to the top, they are faced with a Cornelian dilemma: bring inflation down to 2% at the risk of triggering an unprecedented economic and financial crisis, or allow prices to rise, which would call into question their mandate and lead to social upheaval.

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Gold Rush in China

Published by Laurent Maurel | Sep 29, 2023 | 18263

The price of gold falls in London while it rises in China. The divergence reported in my last article continues this week. The Chinese gold and precious metals market seems to be following its own trajectory.

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Is Inflation Boosted by Oil?

Published by Philippe Herlin | Sep 28, 2023 | 9546

The ECB has just raised its deposit rate to 4% and halted its sovereign debt repurchases, with the stated aim of stamping out inflation. Unfortunately, this will probably have little effect, as oil prices are slowly but surely climbing.

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A Brief History of the Gold Rush

Published by Julien Chevalier | Sep 19, 2023 | 11382

Some people know the story of the Gold Rush from the Charlie Chaplin film, others from TV shows or books of all kinds. At the very least, historians consider this period to be one of the most significant of the 19th century. Both fascinating and structuring, it is particularly revealing of American...

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Inflation Back on the Rise in the United States

Published by Laurent Maurel | Sep 14, 2023 | 9193

In the United States, the consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.6% in August and by 3.7% year-on-year. This is an acceleration on the 0.2% monthly increase and 3.2% annual gain published in July. The year-on-year increase is higher than the economists' forecasts. In other words, August's CPI exceeded...

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