Debt



France, the New Weak Link in the Eurozone

France, the New Weak Link in the Eurozone

Published by Laurent Maurel | Aug 27, 2025 | 14309

On September 8, the French government will face a decisive confidence vote. The risk is clear: if the government fails and the general strike brings the country to a standstill, France could plunge into a systemic bond and banking crisis within a matter of days, with no credible political support...

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Markets Face Major Risk of Liquidity Dry-Up

Markets Face Major Risk of Liquidity Dry-Up

Published by Laurent Maurel | Aug 22, 2025 | 14092

We are at a turning point. Markets are behaving as if the liquidity party could last forever, even though the hidden reserve that supported it has disappeared. And it is precisely this kind of configuration that paves the way for the most brutal reversals.

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Europe: Artificial Growth on Credit

Europe: Artificial Growth on Credit

Published by Philippe Herlin | Aug 21, 2025 | 7313

European public funds are pouring into Italy and Spain and largely explain their GDP growth. In France, it is based on spiraling public debt, while in Germany activity is stagnating, held back by soaring energy costs and the loss of its traditional markets.

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Will Gold Soon be Flippening on US Debt?

Will Gold Soon be Flippening on US Debt?

Published by Philippe Herlin | Jul 24, 2025 | 12260

Debt is in bad shape, especially its premium component, US Federal debt, due to Trump's budget deficit, which is becoming increasingly difficult to finance. We are witnessing the beginnings of a flight from the bond market towards assets which have intrinsic value: gold.

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Rio 2025: BRICS in a Position of Power?

Rio 2025: BRICS in a Position of Power?

Published by Julien Chevalier | Jul 15, 2025 | 10514

The BRICS have placed at the heart of their arguments the urgency of sovereignty for all nations, the end of globalization as we know it, and an ideological change in the face of the civilizational crisis that the West is undergoing. From an old world based on excessive financialization and limit...

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U.S. Debt: Bessent's Crazy Gamble

U.S. Debt: Bessent's Crazy Gamble

Published by Laurent Maurel | Jul 11, 2025 | 11314

Government bonds are no longer perceived as risk-free assets, and their long-term growth potential is now in doubt. In this context, accelerating the pace of debt emissions becomes a real challenge. If the Fed were in turn to intervene in very short maturities to artificially support Treasury emi...

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