Debt

What we are experiencing today goes beyond mere technological euphoria or fears of sector disruption. The AI cycle reveals a paradox: as intelligence becomes increasingly dematerialized, markets are rediscovering the value of the tangible.

The downturn is now global and simultaneous: US consumption is running out of steam, unemployment is rising in Europe, household and business confidence is collapsing in China, while defaults are increasing and bond flows betray a growing flight for safety.

The current period responds to historical dynamics that transcend it. We are at the end of a cycle, where phenomena similar to those we have already experienced are returning: record deficits, high debt, rising public spending, declining growth, unprecedented inequality, and, last but not least,...

In 2026, the digital euro is set to take a new turn. While the euro has steadily lost value in recent decades and European countries' budgets are sinking into the red, this digital euro would serve as a relay to maintain the stability of the European monetary system. At a price that no one can ye...

The era we are living in is, in many ways, similar to the period leading up to the Great War. Crises are multiplying and intertwining, powers are coming into conflict, divisions of all kinds are becoming more pronounced, isolationism is becoming a reality once again, and nothing seems to serve pe...

Over the past couple of years, I have shown you numerous ratio charts that suggest a precious metals bull market is in full swing. This week, we will add a couple more into evidence that highlight the sheer magnitude and duration of this magnificent bull.

What we are experiencing today is a cash crisis. The major bond crisis, the one that will call into question the sustainability of public debt, will undoubtedly come – but later. Gold, meanwhile, is navigating this landscape perfectly.

America's decline, economically, demographically, and socially, was becoming so obvious that it could only give way, as history has repeatedly shown, to the rise of a new superpower. But that was without taking into account the fact that China would follow the same path.

At first glance, everything seems under control: stocks are holding steady and the U.S. economy is resilient. And yet, something is going wrong in the global financial system. In recent days, the cost of very short-term cash – the SOFR rate – has risen sharply.

While the stock markets are driven by algorithms and bitcoin is kept afloat by synthetic liquidity, the silver market highlights the divide between paper and reality.