Financial markets

Over the past couple of years, I have shown you numerous ratio charts that suggest a precious metals bull market is in full swing. This week, we will add a couple more into evidence that highlight the sheer magnitude and duration of this magnificent bull.

What we are experiencing today is a cash crisis. The major bond crisis, the one that will call into question the sustainability of public debt, will undoubtedly come – but later. Gold, meanwhile, is navigating this landscape perfectly.

Gold reacts not to rhetoric, but to substance. The Busan summit was supposed to symbolize economic reconciliation between the world's two largest powers. But behind the facade of diplomatic appeasement, reality remains that of a fragmented world, where strategic tensions persist and confidence in...

The incident that occurred on the night of November 3 to 4 marks a real stress test for the entire crypto liquidity system. In this context, only one asset escapes the logic of chain collapse: physical gold.

At first glance, everything seems under control: stocks are holding steady and the U.S. economy is resilient. And yet, something is going wrong in the global financial system. In recent days, the cost of very short-term cash – the SOFR rate – has risen sharply.

The decline of the gold price simply reflects the scarcity of dollars. When financing tightens, funds temporarily sell their most liquid positions – including gold. Historically, these periods of consolidation in a stressful monetary environment always precede sharp recoveries.

While the stock markets are driven by algorithms and bitcoin is kept afloat by synthetic liquidity, the silver market highlights the divide between paper and reality.

The near-universal refusal to lend silver, except at rates approximately 600 times above the average, suggests the occurrence of a major short squeeze.

With the US government shutdown, “fiscal QE” came to an abrupt halt. It comes at a time when the US Treasury has become the central player in providing liquidity to the system. The longer the situation drags on, the more the pipeline seizes up – and the greater the likelihood of an accident.

For two years, observers have been puzzled by a paradox: while the Fed is reducing the size of its balance sheet through quantitative tightening (QT), the M2 money supply is on the rise. The key to this mystery lies in the growing role of money market funds (MMFs).