Inflation

Central banks are buying at a historic pace, demand for physical gold is rising sharply, and gold mining production is stagnating due to rising costs. This trend is indicative of a new equilibrium that is, so far, a bullish factor for the gold price.

Gold is still very high relative to rates, probably because of the US fiscal risk and new inflationary expectations. This strength is also explained by the worsening geopolitical context and the stalemate in the Ukraine. Any threat of new sanctions now acts as a support for the price of gold.

There is no longer any doubt: the dollar is on the verge of losing its status as an international trade currency across a large part of the globe. The BRICS want to return to a gold-backed currency. The revolution of 2023 will be as significant as that of 1789 in the overthrow of the established...

Savers are not the only ones who have become poorer in the last two decades. Companies have also experienced a shortfall compared to the gold prices rise. If these companies had invested even a small part of their cash flow in gold, it would have greatly improved their financial situation...

Gold was a far more loyal asset than stocks and bonds in the turbulent times of 2022; and given that 2023 portends to be even worse, we can expect better loyalty from this so-called “barbarous relic” of the past.

Regardless of the extent of the economic slowdown, and the extent of future demand, metal supply is being revised downwards in most markets. Forecasts for 2023 suggest that inventory levels will not follow the usual intrinsic demand cycle. Indeed, we are already seeing real "runs" in some markets...

As the hegemony of the US is coming to an end, the dominance of the decadent West is moving quickly to the East and South. Commodity based countries like the enlarged BRICS will dominate for the next few decades and probably longer. Oil and gas will form the base of this shift but also many other...

A closer look reveals beyond doubt that, contrary to a multitude of reports and prejudices spread by the media, gold can already be classified as a very sustainable investment in the sense of the ESG guidelines. And the entire industry is making great efforts to eliminate the remaining blemishes.

Despite the positive effect of inflation on these payroll tax receipts, the amount the government has to pay to pay down its debts and for its public spending programs is far too high for these inflationary revenue increases to affect the overall figure: the United States is in a budgetary bind.

Matthew Piepenburg weaves together the various threads of historical cycles, political psychology and the hard math of cancerous global debt to make better sense of uniquely challenging times.