Rates

The long-term outlook – sustained inflation and long-term interest rates anchored on an upward trajectory – is one of the pillars supporting gold prices over the long term. This is particularly true given that, at this stage, no one is really significantly exposed to it.

The obvious loss of effectiveness of the Bank of Japan's interventions is reflected in the immediate reaction of assets deemed to be barometers of confidence, foremost among them gold in local currency.

Government bonds are no longer perceived as risk-free assets, and their long-term growth potential is now in doubt. In this context, accelerating the pace of debt emissions becomes a real challenge. If the Fed were in turn to intervene in very short maturities to artificially support Treasury emi...

The UK bond market is under pressure, in an unstable global context marked by friction between the Fed and the Treasury and high sensitivity to uncertainty. Physical gold is becoming an instrument of economic survival and a bulwark against the erratic decisions of the authorities.

In a stagflationary environment — marked by sluggish growth, persistent inflation and growing consumer unease — the yellow metal is once again playing its role as a safe-haven asset.

If the yield curve steepening bet reverses, it could have a significant impact on the gold price. In a scenario where long rates fall rapidly - for fear of recession or a return to caution by central banks - gold would benefit. Falling real interest rates would make the metal more attractive, and...

The financial world may be on the verge of a regime change. Financial repression, thought to have been relegated to the past, is making a discreet comeback through the Japanese door. The Tokyo authorities are already trying to manipulate the yield curve by adjusting the supply of debt, hoping to...

The year 2025 is likely to be the year of crisis: the United States must refinance $9 trillion in debt — a quarter of its total outstanding — while financing an annual budget deficit of $1.9 trillion. A veritable debt wall. And then there's Japan, France, and so on. Will there be sufficient deman...

The gradual disappearance of structural buyers of sovereign debt - central banks, Japan, pension funds - ushers in a new era in which debt is no longer “free by design”, but must once again become desirable in a competitive universe. In this new context, physical gold is regaining its role as a s...

When the bond market, and in particular that of US sovereign bonds, becomes unstable or loses investor confidence, it's not just bad news for financial portfolios: it's a crack in the very foundations of the global financial architecture.