Rates

In a stagflationary environment — marked by sluggish growth, persistent inflation and growing consumer unease — the yellow metal is once again playing its role as a safe-haven asset.

If the yield curve steepening bet reverses, it could have a significant impact on the gold price. In a scenario where long rates fall rapidly - for fear of recession or a return to caution by central banks - gold would benefit. Falling real interest rates would make the metal more attractive, and...

The financial world may be on the verge of a regime change. Financial repression, thought to have been relegated to the past, is making a discreet comeback through the Japanese door. The Tokyo authorities are already trying to manipulate the yield curve by adjusting the supply of debt, hoping to...

The year 2025 is likely to be the year of crisis: the United States must refinance $9 trillion in debt — a quarter of its total outstanding — while financing an annual budget deficit of $1.9 trillion. A veritable debt wall. And then there's Japan, France, and so on. Will there be sufficient deman...

The gradual disappearance of structural buyers of sovereign debt - central banks, Japan, pension funds - ushers in a new era in which debt is no longer “free by design”, but must once again become desirable in a competitive universe. In this new context, physical gold is regaining its role as a s...

When the bond market, and in particular that of US sovereign bonds, becomes unstable or loses investor confidence, it's not just bad news for financial portfolios: it's a crack in the very foundations of the global financial architecture.

With Donald Trump’s inauguration, uncertainty in international politics, geopolitical dynamics and the financial markets has increased significantly. It remains to be seen how long this phase. What is certain is that gold is benefiting from the increased uncertainty.

Donald Trump's recent change of tone on tariffs, like his unexpected softening towards Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, highlights an often overlooked reality: the real balance of power isn't played out on the political stage, but in the workings of the US debt market.

U.S. Treasuries, supposed to be the ultimate refuge in times of crisis, appear to have been swept away by the market swell, while gold remains afloat.

Gold has played an increasingly important role in the international financial system. To better understand this dynamic and its implications, we turned to macro strategist Tavi Costa, focussing on the main forces driving the gold and silver markets today.