As we slowly emerge from the Covid parenthesis, is a real rise in policy rates on the horizon? We can doubt it. The ECB will follow and not take the initiative, as usual. The rise in rates will therefore be very limited. Therefore, inflation is here to stay...

Inflation is already a destructive evil in itself, but its partial concealment reinforces its harmfulness by deceiving economic players about its real value. It is important to know that governments manipulate the money printing press, but also the measurement of the resulting price increase. Fac...

The leaders of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have long promised us that their lax monetary policy would not lead to inflation, and that we should not worry, that it would be "transitory". They now concede that the transitional period could be prolonged, but co...

There is now too much debt in the economy, everywhere and at too high a level. The room for maneuver of central banks is considerably narrower...

The Danish bank, Saxo Bank, has become famous for publishing every year a series of ten "outrageous predictions" that are supposed to profoundly change our societies in the coming year. The exercise is difficult and these predictions rarely come true. But they have the merit of pointing out probl...

The ECB is making a mockery of the world: it is shirking its responsibilities (printing money, zero interest rate), it is being lax with the banking system (insufficient capital), it refuses to recognize the damage it is causing (bubbles in equities, bonds and real estate), it refrains from lectu...

The mass distribution is planning a price increase in food, reports Le Figaro. Michel-Edouard Leclerc, president of the hypermarket group of the same name, expects "a hell of a price increase this month". This should not come as a surprise. This was foreseen by one of the few economic theories th...

The Swiss newspaper Le Temps published on October 6 an exclusive piece of information that did not get the coverage it deserved: the International Monetary Fund (IMF) knew as early as 2016 that the Lebanese banking system was going to collapse, but the central bank and its governor, Riad Salamé,...

The ECB is building a Potemkin village of European public debt, to keep up appearances, hoping that inflation will not undermine the whole thing...

Evergrande, China's largest property developer, directly employs 200,000 people and indirectly employs 3.8 million people. Problem: the group is bankrupt and announced on September 14 that it is facing a risk of default. Evergrande is crushed by liabilities of nearly 260 billion euros, while it h...

Central banks are stuck and condemned to see the value of their currencies deteriorate, hoping that inflation will be "temporary". So this situation will continue and get stronger, maybe one day we will reach the -10% real interest rate, as in my fiction (i.e. a division by two of the value of sa...

The American and European central banks - the Fed and the ECB - would have us believe that they will be able to raise their key rates when the time comes. In reality, they will have to choose between several crisis scenarios.

We note an average gold's performance of +8.17% per year, then +8.69% per year over the last twenty years. No liquid asset has performed this well over such a long period. It is reported that an investment offering an annual return of +7.18% can double its capital in ten years. Therefore, gold in...

Alleviating public debt through a dose of inflation is a widely shared and defended idea, it even seems obvious. But what is it really?

Money printing causes prices to rise, that's how it is, and the central banks' printing presses have been active since the beginning of the 2000s (interest rates fell following the crash of Internet stocks in 2000 and then the attacks of September 11, 2001). It was reinforced with the subprime cr...

No, TARGET2 is not a video game. The term is never mentioned in the media, yet it is the crucial point of fragility of the euro. A note from the French Treasury clumsily attempts to defuse this risk. Let's analyze it closely.

The European Central Bank's printing press is the only thing left to provide glitter, cheap illusions, stock market and real estate bubbles that will turn heads but will only last a short time. An ECB that will also hold at arm's length a banking sector burdened with bad debts... Our economy is d...

This deluge of liquidity with no counterpart in the real economy produces bubbles (shares, real estate in particular), crashes, and eventually a bubble on all prices, i.e. inflation, then hyperinflation if things really get out of hand.

It is spending at all costs that will be necessary in Italy, less to revive the economy (the aid plans have a limited real effect) than to save a very fragile banking system. Christine Lagarde won't find anything to complain about, so we can be sure that the ECB's printing press will continue to...

With zero interest rates, the government has locked savers into a trap from which it is difficult to escape, but it is to its advantage, since it can finance its budget deficit at a lower cost. How does it do this? We must begin by asking the question: Why do banks and insurers buy debt that brin...