Publications

Over the next couple of years we are likely to see a stampede into gold by institutional investors which need to have some inflation protection in their portfolios. But even if they increased their assets in gold from 0.5% to 1.5%, there will not be enough gold in the world to satisfy the extra demand. This type of increase in gold demand can only be satisfied by much higher prices, creating a gold mania.

I recommend to increase the proportion of gold in your portfolios and buy some, if you didn’t already have any, but that you should also reduce the size of the stocks component, because the situation is getting bad. Why? First of all, because inflation is accelerating in the United States, something that is never good news for the stock markets around the world.

The Fed, for its part, is continuing to print money at the same crazy pace as before. The central bank promised to reduce its asset purchases, but by refusing to hike its rates and continuing to grow its balance sheet, it is exacerbating the rise in prices even more. There is ever more money in circulation, chasing fewer and fewer tangible assets available. How do you expect the inflation to dissipate, in those circumstances?

Gold rallied thanks to the changed narrative on inflation, and Biden’s infrastructure plan can only add to the inflationary pressure. Huge price moves ahead?

The mass distribution is planning a price increase in food, reports Le Figaro. Michel-Edouard Leclerc, president of the hypermarket group of the same name, expects "a hell of a price increase this month". This should not come as a surprise. This was foreseen by one of the few economic theories that works: the Cantillon effect.

The consumer prices index (CPI) published in the United States is a shock for the last of the faithful believers still clinging to the myth of ‘transitory’ inflation. Prices of gold and silver are breaking out. Over the long term, we note that this Gold/Copper pairing is a fairly reliable indicator as to the steering effects of the Fed’s monetary policies, since its first interventions in 2008.

Is inflation transitory? How does inflation expectation affect gold price? When will gold break out from its cup and handle price target? Gold experts Egon von Greyerz and Matthew Piepenburg share their level-headed forecast in this video.

With the sheer quantity of cash accumulated in bank accounts in Western countries, the disruption to supply chains and the melting of the stocks in the futures markets (the last ‘tools’ that are putting the brakes on the rise in precious metals), the virus of physical gold and silver will likely spread from China to the Western countries...as and when the economic difficulties catch up with us.

The Fed’s favourite inflation indicator, the PCE Deflator is at a 30 year high. Since the Treasury or the Fed are never correct in any prediction, how can they now believe with inflation tuning to the highest in 30 years, that this is transitory. Well at least the Fed is consistent in their inaccurate forecasts.

Gold and Commodities in general continue to be too cheap and offer great opportunities to countercyclical investors now. Take precautions now, because this manipulation cannot last.

The rise in the price of gold in a cycle of yield increases is the signal that the monetary authorities are late to act on the inflationary cycle. Historically, gold has never performed so well as when the central banks ‘run’ after inflation, and lag behind in terms of the rate of increase. Today, this lag is even larger than it was during the inflationary cycle of the 1970s...

Egon von Greyerz sits down with Jim Lewis and Ivan Bayoukhi of Wall Street Silver to discuss the deteriorating situation of the global financial system and what it means for the fate of the United States dollar and precious metals.

If you look at the metal prices on the LME, the London metals market, they are at their all-time highs. Why ?

As history clearly shows, gold is far and above the best asset to own to protect one’s self during such a monetary reset.

At the end of major economic cycles, shortages develop in all areas of the economy. And this is what the world is experiencing today on a global basis. There is a general lack of labour, whether it is restaurant staff, truck drivers or medical personnel. There are also shortages of raw materials, lithium (electric car batteries), semi-conductors, food, a great deal of consumer products, cardboard boxes, energy and etc, etc. The list is endless.