Inflation

The collapse of the correlation between the gold price and real interest rates raises many questions. In the old paradigm, it was unthinkable that the gold price would trend firmer during a phase of sharply rising real interest rates. Gold and gold investors are now entering terra incognita.

Gold is currently benefiting from concerns over the dual problem of debt and deficit in the United States. The more tangible the signs of economic slowdown, the more gold will succeed in reaching highs.

Taking stock of Brexit also means recalling the historical events of the past few years. The poor economic results are in fact as much attributable to Brexit as to the many recent crises, ranging from the health crisis to the Ukrainian-Russian war and geopolitical tensions around the world.

As political parties, currencies, stocks, bonds and other bubble assets fall, the indisputable winners will be gold and silver.

We'll try to understand how a recession manifests itself and how long it takes to materialize. As a reminder, recessions are often beneficial for gold price growth.

The global economic slowdown is having a direct impact on the accelerating depreciation of the Japanese currency. Under these conditions, the price of gold in yen continues its parabolic rise.

The slowdown in the US economy is amplified by structural problems in the labor market and inflation, masked by a rise in part-time employment and temporary support measures, with an increased risk of recession due to the prolonged inversion of the yield curve.

As we near the end of a monetary era, key dominoes like political stability, currency, and debt will fall, causing social unrest, war, and economic collapse, with gold becoming a critical stable asset and its value significantly increasing.

The release of a lower-than-expected US CPI and the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged sent gold lower, while the dissolution of France's National Assembly caused tensions to mount on the French bond market.

For over half a century, the United States has surpassed the United Kingdom as the leading international power. Its military and monetary strength, the first two of a hegemonic country, remain unrivalled. The Biden administration seeks to maintain this superpower, but the world is changing.