The Resurgence of Sovereign Risk Sets the Stage for the Next Gold Cycle
Today, the price of gold is rising primarily as a sign of gradual currency depreciation. Tomorrow, it could rise as a safe-haven asset amid systemic uncertainty.
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Today, the price of gold is rising primarily as a sign of gradual currency depreciation. Tomorrow, it could rise as a safe-haven asset amid systemic uncertainty.
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U.S. federal debt has now surpassed the 100% of GDP threshold. This figure refers to federal debt held by the public ($31.27 trillion), excluding debt held by the Fed. Total debt therefore stands at $39 trillion, or 122% of GDP.
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The market continues to display a price… but fewer and fewer participants are willing to honor it in practice. The link between paper and reality is fraying, revealing an increasingly visible divide.
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It is now clear that the contemporary monetary system is coming to an end. Gold has grasped the stakes of such a collapse.
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The latest inflation figures suggest a resurgence of inflationary pressure. Producer prices rose by 0.5% over the month, bringing the annual rate to 4.0%. Against an already tense backdrop in the energy sector, figures like these are enough to fuel the narrative that inflation is on the rise agai...
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Does gold signal a return of inflation? Everything points to it. Gold has recently become the world’s most traded asset by volume, surpassing U.S. debt and major currencies.
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The war in Iran is not only contributing to a resurgence of inflationary pressures across the Atlantic, thereby destabilizing financial markets, but is also accelerating the global shift away from the dollar.
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The oil market is entering a phase where volatility is no longer a mere hiccup but a direct consequence of its structure. Recent price movements do not reflect a linear improvement or deterioration in fundamentals, but rather a growing inability of prices to simultaneously reflect both physical r...
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While some banks maintain expectations of prices exceeding $6,000 per ounce, and following gold’s spectacular rise in 2025, should we expect this super-cycle trend to continue?
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While equity markets remain artificially propped up by low volatility, gold is consolidating. This phase does not reflect weakness, but rather a period of accumulation.
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