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France, the New Weak Link in the Eurozone

France, the New Weak Link in the Eurozone

Published by Laurent Maurel | Aug 27, 2025 | 5907

On September 8, the French government will face a decisive confidence vote. The risk is clear: if the government fails and the general strike brings the country to a standstill, France could plunge into a systemic bond and banking crisis within a matter of days, with no credible political support...

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Markets Face Major Risk of Liquidity Dry-Up

Markets Face Major Risk of Liquidity Dry-Up

Published by Laurent Maurel | Aug 22, 2025 | 11116

We are at a turning point. Markets are behaving as if the liquidity party could last forever, even though the hidden reserve that supported it has disappeared. And it is precisely this kind of configuration that paves the way for the most brutal reversals.

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Europe: Artificial Growth on Credit

Europe: Artificial Growth on Credit

Published by Philippe Herlin | Aug 21, 2025 | 5402

European public funds are pouring into Italy and Spain and largely explain their GDP growth. In France, it is based on spiraling public debt, while in Germany activity is stagnating, held back by soaring energy costs and the loss of its traditional markets.

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Will Gold Soon be Flippening on US Debt?

Will Gold Soon be Flippening on US Debt?

Published by Philippe Herlin | Jul 24, 2025 | 11258

Debt is in bad shape, especially its premium component, US Federal debt, due to Trump's budget deficit, which is becoming increasingly difficult to finance. We are witnessing the beginnings of a flight from the bond market towards assets which have intrinsic value: gold.

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