Mike Roy is an independent precious metals technical analyst who first became interested in the sector following the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Mike's charting technique is founded on the conviction that price action is a manifestation of human emotions - fear and greed - and since those emotions continue to repeat over time, so too do their chart patterns. His particular interest is in identifying long-term secular bull markets and sharing those charts with an audience that wishes to protect its purchasing power over time rather than speculate on short-term trades.
The Gold/SPX (S&P 500 index) ratio appears to be breaking out of its third major consolidation in the last 100 years. The Silver/SPX ratio shows a similar story to that of Gold/SPX, as it too is breaking out of its third major consolidation in the past 100 years.
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It appears the debate about whether Gold/Dollar was forming a massive 10+ year Cup & Handle will soon be answered, as price officially broke out of the structure and closed at an All Time High quarterly closing price of $1,968.53 for Q1, 2023.
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Since 2018 we have again seen a series of impulse moves higher followed by bullish consolidations. Gold price in euros appears to be breaking out of one such consolidation now that began in February, 2022, and the next impulse move higher may soon be upon us.
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The World Currency Unit is a blend of the world's largest currencies and represents a unit of real global purchasing power. Measuring Gold and Silver in WCUs helps to reduce the volatility of individual currencies and their inflationary impacts on the charts.
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The Gold/Silver ratio has been building out a decade-long Head & Shoulders pattern since bottoming in 2011. At a current ratio near 85, Gold and Silver remain very cheap on an historical basis.
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Gold's 12-year cup & handle points to new all time high above $3,000 and silver's bull flag suggests a run to at $50 possible.
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