Laurent Maurel


US Recession Postponed, Debt Wall Looming

US Recession Postponed, Debt Wall Looming

Published by Laurent Maurel | Jan 27, 2023 | 18249

Despite the positive effect of inflation on these payroll tax receipts, the amount the government has to pay to pay down its debts and for its public spending programs is far too high for these inflationary revenue increases to affect the overall figure: the United States is in a budgetary bind.

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Precious Metals Outperformed Stocks And Bonds In 2022

Precious Metals Outperformed Stocks And Bonds In 2022

Published by Laurent Maurel | Dec 30, 2022 | 20376

As we close out the year 2022, it must be admitted that the performance of gold and silver prices in 2022 has surprised many analysts. The performance of precious metals is all the more remarkable in the face of sharp declines in equity and bond markets. Gold is outperforming the indices by more...

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Are Central Banks Still Credible?

Are Central Banks Still Credible?

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 19, 2022 | 17336

As central banks’ interventions continue to increase, the volatility in all markets is not going to go away! Under these conditions, how can we be surprised to see more and more investors seeking the stability of an investment in physical gold in order to regain some serenity in a financial world...

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Global Margin Call and Physical Silver Rush

Global Margin Call and Physical Silver Rush

Published by Laurent Maurel | Oct 13, 2022 | 27019

The rush into physical metal comes at a time when the global margin call is affecting funds that are liquidating their long positions in the futures market. Speculators are increasing their short positions in anticipation of a collapse in demand for metals due to the looming global recession.

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The Fed's Second Consecutive Monetary Policy Mistake

The Fed's Second Consecutive Monetary Policy Mistake

Published by Laurent Maurel | Sep 20, 2022 | 19521

The Fed's first mistake was to miss the start of inflation. We may now be witnessing the second mistake: in trying to create a useful recession to fight inflation, the US central bank is ignoring the unprecedented and irreversible impoverishment that the sudden rise in rates threatens to create.

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Bond Market Illiquidity Creates Systemic Credit Risk

Bond Market Illiquidity Creates Systemic Credit Risk

Published by Laurent Maurel | Sep 14, 2022 | 18707

The bond issue risks complicating the liquidity of the US Treasury market.The risk is that they will lose their status as a reserve asset, which would create a systemic risk. The confidence in the value of US debt is at stake. In this perspective, the purchase of physical gold becomes very import...

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